Hello, Summoners! Welcome to League of Legends 2020 World Championship Groups Day 4. We have seen big rivalries and unexpected results at times.
SenpAI will be sharing insights, predictions, match results, and commentary on social media platforms throughout the tournament! Let’s have a look at League of Legends Worlds 2020 Groups Day 4 together.
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How does SenpAI calculate win probabilities?
Our win probabilities are calculated by using machine learning techniques on competitive League of Legends leading up to Worlds 2020.
Prior to a match-up, for both teams, first, their performances in the last 5 games are extracted.
These performance measures consist of various features such as their mean gold difference relating to the opponent for the games in the series, binary values whether the team got first blood/turrets in each of the games, how many times Baron Nashor has been slain, team region, vision score versus opponent, mean gold difference and many more.
These measurements are normalized according to the game duration and patch version so the features of a matchup can be compared with another in a meaningful way. Using 5-fold cross-validation, our out-of-fold accuracy is at 0.641. So in general we expect 6 out of 10 predictions to be the correct outcome.
Keep in mind that before any League of Legends game starts we can only make predictions according to a team’s performance on the previous match and these predictions lack the information of champion picks, bans, or lane match-ups therefore it uses the knowledge of how a team performed against their past opponents.
Additionally, our models are trained in order to be robust and make generalized performance, so that it’s performance is meaningful in a vast number of match-ups rather than a few outcomes. We hope to move from the random choice probability of 0.5 towards our validation accuracy of 0.641 as more games are completed for the upcoming Worlds 2020!
League of Legends Worlds 2020 Groups – DAY 4
G2 Esports vs Team Liquid
TOP: Wunder- Renekton
JUNGLE: Jankos- Nidalee
MID: Caps- Jayce
BOT: Perkz- Ashe
SUPPORT: Mikyx- Alistar
TOP: Impact- Volibear
JUNGLE: Broxah- Graves
MID: Jensen- Orianna
BOT: Tactical- Kalista
SUPPORT: CoreJJ- Sett
Match Recap – Winner: TL
The very first action, TL got the red buff and continued to take their opponent’s red buff, taking Nidalee out on the way and shedding the first blood. At 6 minutes Alistar caught Sett in the mid lane and started the war. In this battle, Jayce fell and TL won another score.
At 10 minutes, G2 took the first Herald. TL, on the other hand, destroyed the first tower from the bot lane. At 11 minutes, TL got their first dragon. At 15 minutes, Alistar captured Orianna in mid lane, where a team fight broke out. G2 got 2 points from here.
At 17 minutes, TL got the 2nd dragon and the Herald at the same time. A battle broke out later when Alistar caught Volibear in the bot lane. G2 was the party that got out of the barter with a change of 4 to 3. TL who won the fight, took the 3rd dragon. In the battle that broke out at 24 minutes, TL got 3 points and went to the Baron. With a freshly respawned G2 coming here, they could not take the baron. In the 24th minute, in the battle on the lower lane side, TL got 3 points from here and went to the baron. In the war that broke out here, TL slew 4 of G2 and then took a baron. TL surpassed their competitor by 6 thousand gold.
At 28 minutes, TL captured the dragon soul. In the battle that broke out here, they got 4 kills for 1 loss then destroyed the top lane inhibitor. At 33, a war broke out on the baron side. TL, which was quite superior to their rivals in the game, got 4 kills for 1 again and finished the game. With this result, TL managed to get on their feet while G2 got their first loss throughout their unbeaten record.
Suning vs Machi Esports
TOP: Bin- Jax
JUNGLE: SofM- Nidalee
MID: Angel- Syndra
BOT: Huanfeng- Ezreal
SUPPORT: SwordArt- Bard
TOP: PK- Shen
JUNGLE: Gemini- Volibear
MID: Mission- Azir
BOT: Bruce- Ashe
SUPPORT: Koala- Rakan
Match Recap – Winner: SN
Just a couple of minutes in, Volibear ganked the top lane and killed Jax, shedding the first blood. At 5, Volibear went back to the top lane yet again to get another score on Jax. In the meantime, Syndra cut Azir down one-on-one to get her team’s first score.9 minutes in, MCX got the first dragon, then came a dive attempt by Volibear into the bot lane. Although Ezreal fell here, Jax came with teleport and got 2 points. This trade was in favor of SN.
Volibear brought the first Herald to MCX side. In the 15th minute, SN got the first dragon. Azir managed to take the game’s first tower in the bot lane. Nidalee stole the second Herald and then slew Volibear. Nidalee performed a great play here that made viewers enjoy and totally hyped up the casters. Subsequently, MCX got the 2nd dragon for their team. MCX started the dragon at 22 minutes. Here SN got 2 points and subsequently got the baron. In the 31st minute, Azir got the 3rd dragon for his team. Although Ezreal tried to play around it with his ult, the dragon which had only 61 HP left, went to Azir.
SN took the baron at 32 minutes. Ezreal played very well in the team fight that broke out here and scored a quadra kill. At the same time Nidalee killed Ashe and the slaughterer SN became the winner of the game.
DRX vs FlyQuest
TOP: Doran- Maokai
JUNGLE: Pyosik- Kindred
MID: Chovy- Zoe
BOT: Deft- Caitlyn
SUPPORT: Keria- Lux
TOP: Solo- Ornn
JUNGLE: Santorin- Graves
MID: PowerOfEvil- Orianna
BOT: WildTurtle- Ashe
SUPPORT: IgNar- Pantheon
Match Recap – Winner: DRX
At the 5th minute, Graves ganked bot lane where he slew Lux and shed the first blood. FLY then continued their rotation to take the first dragon to come out. In the 11th minute, the first Herald went to FLY, despite all the stealing efforts of their opponent. At 15 minutes, on the 2nd dragon, FLY brought Kindred to her death and took the dragon.
In the 19th minute, DRX took the 2nd Herald. In the battle that broke out here, DRX gave out only one of them in return of 3 kills. DRX, who was ahead in minions and towers, was also 3K gold ahead of their opponent at this stage. At 25 minutes, they were not ready to let their opponent take the dragon soul at, thus started a fight. DRX, completely slaughtering FLY, took the dragon and the baron. DRX rotated to take a tower from the mid lane, had an advantage of 10K gold over their opponent.
Advancing towards the bot lane with the Baron buff, DRX forced their opponent into a team fight. In that battle where the DRX was slaughtering, Deft scored a triple kill with an amazing force that no tank could resist and DRX went onto destroying FLY’s Nexus.
Top Esports vs Unicorns of Love
TOP: 369- Jax
JUNGLE: Karsa- Graves
MID: Knight- Lucian
BOT: Jackeylove- Senna
SUPPORT: Yuyanjia- Tahm Kench
TOP: Boss- Camille
JUNGLE: Ahahacik- Lee Sin
MID: Nomanz- Syndra
BOT: Gadget- Karthus
SUPPORT: Santas- Nautilus
Match Recap – Winner: TES
In the 3rd minute, Lee Sin ganked the top lane where he slew Jax and shed the first blood. At 7 minutes, Lee Sin ganked the top lane again, but here he could not knock Jax down and died himself, while Camille managed to escape with a little HP. Meanwhile, a battle broke out in mid lane between Lucian and Syndra. While Lucian was barely holding with his life, Graves came to the rescue and killed Syndra with a flash ulti. Meanwhile, Lucian, who got Syndra Q in between the fight, died by an ulti from Karthus.
UOL got the first dragon in the 9th minute. Meanwhile, Gragas also took the first Herald. A dive attempt by TES came in the top lane, and after 2 kills, they unleashed the Herald to take the first tower for themselves. TES got their team’s first dragon in the 15th minute along with their 2nd Herald.
At 21 minutes, a team fight occurred in the mid lane, starting with the Karthus ult. UOL scored Tahm Kench, but gave out 4 lives to their opponents.
Just a couple of minutes later, a battle broke out between the two teams for the baron. UOL, which started well and got two points, was later massacred by their opponents. TES being the winner of the fight took the Baron easily. They advanced down mid lane and destroyed inhibitors with the help baron buff in return of Lucian’s life.
In the 30th minute, TES took the baron again. Advancing through the mid corridor, TES ended the game by slaughtering the entire UOL roster here, special thanks to 369.
Fnatic vs Gen.G
TOP: Bwipo- Ornn
JUNGLE: Selfmade- Graves
MID: Nemesis- Orianna
BOT: Rekkles- Senna
SUPPORT: Hylissang- Leona
TOP: Rascal- Renekton
JUNGLE: Clid- Nidalee
MID: Bdd- Azir
BOT: Ruler- Ezreal
SUPPORT: Life- Rakan
Match Recap – Winner: FNC
Fnatic was already the winner of the champion selection screen. A couple of minutes in, a battle broke out between the two bot lane duos, where Leona shed the first blood. FNC continued their pressure in bot lane to stall Ezreal’s progress, ganked the bot lane got 2 more points. Ezreal, who teleported to the bot lane when he was born, fell again, yet FNC lost 2 of their roster in return. In the 7th minute, Ornn used his ulti in the bot lane and they managed to bring Ruler down once again.
In the 8th minute, Graves looked to get the first Herald yet Nidalee stole it, dying in the process. Right after that Leona dived into Renekton in the top lane, scoring another kill for FNC.
How to EU your way to win over your enemies
FNC headed down for the first dragon at 10, where they caught and killed Nidalee along with taking the dragon. Fnatic destroyed the first tower from the bottom lane in the 14th minute while GEN was taking their first dragon in the 15th minute.
FNC had a 2,000 gold lead by 21 minutes advanced to take another dragon. In the battle that started on the baron side that continued towards the mid lane, FNC did not lose anyone while acing GEN. Afterwards, they finished the game in a haste and got an early win. There was absolutely no mistake with anyone from FNC in the game throughout their gameplay and was a total showdown for viewers on how to be pros.
TSM vs LGD Gaming
TOP: Broken Blade- Shen
JUNGLE: Spica- Graves
MID: Bjergsen- LeBlanc
BOT: Doublelift- Ezreal
SUPPORT: Biofrost- Bard
TOP: Langx- Renekton
JUNGLE: Peanut- Lillia
MID: Xiye- Orianna
BOT: Kramer- Senna
SUPPORT: Mark- Nautilus
Match Recap – Winner: LGD
In the 2nd minute, in the battle between the bot lane duos, Ezreal fell and gave the first blood to his opponent. Spica then ganked the bot lane for retribution. In the war that broke out here, TSM succeeded in bringing down Nautilus. TSM took the first Herald in the 9th minute, where a team fight broke out as well where Bard fell.
11 minutes in, LGD started the first dragon but Graves stole it, with LGD also taking down Nautilus. LGD destroyed the first tower from bot lane in the 15th minute along with the first dragon score for their team. At 18 minutes, LGD carried the score to 4-6 with small swaps and took the second Herald. When the 3rd dragon emerged in the 21st minute, a team fight started with Bard’ ult. LGD got 4 points from here, unleashing the Herald onto the hit the mid inhibitor tower.
TSM was tailing behind so they decided to start fighting with the Baron yet took a lot of damage by LGD and forced to fall back. In the 27th minute, LGD easily took their 3rd dragon. 32 minutes in, a critical battle broke out in the dragon pit. LGD was the first to hit the dragon. Although TSM managed to steal it, they lost 4 lives to their opponent.
In the 35th minute, LGD, who had a 6K gold advantage, started the baron. In the team fight that took place here, LGD massacred their opponent to get to the finish line first.
It was not a very clean game for LGD. There were some seriously wrong positionings and we saw Kramer having a hard time with LeBlanc. Yet LGD played out in the laning phase very well, and they used every opportunity TSM gave them.
We can say that the World Championship could possibly end for TSM if a miracle of getting 3 wins out of 3 matches does not happen in the games that they will play in Round 2.
League of Legends Worlds 2020 Group Stage // Day 4 Standings
League of Legends Worlds 2020 Group Stage // Day 5 Predictions
Here you are! At the end of League of Legends World 2020 Groups Day 4 Recap! We will be sharing our insights throughout the tournament. Tune in every day to see our takes on the matches!
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